Pablo Carreno-Busta vs Jakub Paul Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

When analyzing the upcoming tennis match, reviewing recent second serve performance provides key insights. In the past six months, Paul has secured 44.83% of points on their second serve, while Carreno-Busta has achieved 43.11%. These figures have a strong correlation with match prediction accuracy, suggesting a slight edge for Paul.

Return game statistics further shape the comparison between the two players. Recently, Paul has excelled in winning 46.7% of opponents' second serve points, slightly surpassing Carreno-Busta's 46.5%. For first serve returns, Paul also leads at 29.18%, compared to Carreno-Busta's 25.54%, which can be a significant factor in determining the favorite in their head-to-head encounter.

Under pressure, analyzing breakpoint saved percentages offers additional insights. Carreno-Busta has saved 58.04% of breakpoints, slightly outpacing Paul's 55.28%. This can be valuable for in-game betting predictions, especially in crucial moments of the match.

Considering the performance overview over the past year, Paul has claimed victory in 64.47% of matches (W/L 49/27), whereas Carreno-Busta's win rate stands at 56.25% (W/L 27/21). These statistics form a comprehensive head-to-head prediction overview, indicating Paul's higher consistency.

Evaluating career surface performances, Paul's best win percentage is on Hard courts at 65% (W/L 77/42), whereas their weakest is on I.hard at 53% (W/L 45/40). Contrarily, Carreno-Busta thrives on Clay with a 66% win rate (W/L 344/175) but struggles on Grass, winning just 30% (W/L 6/14). These surface statistics highlight potential advantages based on the playing surface.

When considering player level and opponent quality, in the last year, Paul has predominantly played in Challengers/ITF tournaments > $10K, with a success rate of 67.27% (W/L 37/18). Meanwhile, Carreno-Busta has also focused on similar level competitions, winning 72.22% of matches (W/L 13/5). On average, Paul has faced opponents ranked 348.26, whereas Carreno-Busta's opponents have been stronger, averaging a rank of 150.75.

For deciding set performance, Paul has shown greater resilience, winning 56% of deciding sets in the past 12 months, compared to Carreno-Busta's 43%. This could be crucial if the match extends to a deciding set.

In terms of break point conversion, Paul has been efficient with a conversion rate of 30.66%, higher than Carreno-Busta's 26.28%, making break point opportunities a pivotal aspect of in-game strategies.

Overall, considering these statistical insights and recent performances, Paul seems to have a marginal advantage in predicting the outcome of this match, largely due to superior second serve performance and return game statistics.